Tuesday Night Ramblings...
* Our weather has been somewhat stagnant over the past couple of days. Plenty of heat and sunshine, high humidity, and no rain. Wholesale changes are on the way, and those changes begin Thursday. It's a very complex setup, with a lot of players on the field.* We are watching an area of tropical moisture coming into the Florida peninsula and southeastern U.S. This plume of moisture will continue tracking west, and will eventually emerge into the Gulf of Mexico. There is a chance that this could become a tropical depression or tropical storm Wednesday. Even if it does not achieve that distinction, the increase in moisture could bring some higher than advertised rain chances to our area.
* There is considerable disagreement in our computer model guidance about where exactly the plume of moisture coming into Florida will end up. If it stays as far south as we are hoping and expecting right now, we will only see a few showers. But, should this slug of moisture track further north and interact with an approaching front, our rain chances Thursday could be considerably greater. This is something we will watch, but for now we will stick with the idea of only a few scattered showers Thursday.
* Once the front clears us on Friday, much cooler air will slip in here. Highs Friday, Saturday and Sunday will reach only the lower to middle 70's, with lows in the 50's.
* Long range computer model guidance suggests that we could see a significant turn to cooler weather around the middle of the month, around the October 16-22 time frame. Time will tell...
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 10:02 PM
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