Twin States Weather Blog

More Smoky Haze & Isolated PM Storms Today:

* Very warm and humid this morning as I write this about 4:40AM... The haze has stuck with us all night and it has mixed with fog this morning so be careful out and about this morning.

* We are expecting another day of that smoky haze just like we saw on Monday across the Twin States with partly cloudy skies. Again with daytime heating we will see scattered showers and thunderstorms pop by late afternoon across the area. These storms form, don't move much, rain themselves out and send out mini-outflow boundaries, and another storm will pop. These storms can pulse up to briefly be severe but usually quickly weaken. (Just like the storm in Smith County yesterday)

* Still watching the progression of a cold front working southward toward Mississippi and Alabama Wednesday bringing a round of showers and thunderstorms for the Twin States. At the moment, the models show a band along the front moving through both states and arriving around our area by the middle of the afternoon. Models indicate rain amounts of around 0.25 to 0.50". There will be a slight cool down behind the front with highs dropping into the lower 80s by late week and the weekend and upper 40s by Friday and Saturday morning.

* Models are showing another frontal boundary stalling out across the Twin States around the 24th of the Month which could bring another round of some showers and a few thunderstorms.

* Drought: Crunching the numbers this morning show we are -2.26" of rain for the month of May and we are still hurting at -16.52" for the year so far. The US Drought Monitor and the Palmer Drought Severity Index still place the Twin States area under a severe stage drought.

* Fire Danger: The cooler air behind the front will lower relative humidities so the fire danger will be elevated into the weekend. A reminder as Newscenter 11 reported yesterday, the city of Meridian has been once again placed under a burn ban.

* Tropics: The GFS long range model out about 16 days (around the 30th of May) still shows a "system" in the South Central Gulf of Mexico. The last few model runs have been persistent in showing this feature. Of course I still note that far out on these forecast models is "voodoo land" and will probably change... but having said that, it will be something to watch the next week or so to see if models hold onto this "system." Interesting to note, this comes about the time we get ready to officially start the Atlantic Hurricane Season (June 1). If the system were to develop (pending no other formations prior to that) it would take the "B" name on the list which this year is "Barry."

* More on the forecast here in a little less than an hour on Good Morning Meridian: Early Edition and the normal Good Morning Meridian. Trent Hughes is back tonight with the evening shows at 5:00, 6:00, and 10:00.

Labels: Forecast Discussion

posted by Chris Whited @ 4:39 AM