Sunday, September 03, 2006

Tropical Depression Six

Well, after Ernesto, the Tropics appeared to be pretty calm. We looked to be in the clear, until the next tropical wave came off the west coast of Africa. An area of convection is beginning to circulate and as of right now has sustained winds of 35 mph with higher gusts. It is hard to actually pinpoint an exact center of circulation because it is so disorganized. In fact, there may be several smaller areas of circulations spinning around the actual center. Depression Six is located about 1395 miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles and its forward motion is approx. northwest at 12 mph.

This system should be encountering some southwesterly shear over the next day or two, but after that it will enter into a much more favorable environment for strengthening. This system is still several days out, but it is not out of the question for this depression to pulse up to tropical storm or hurricane strength.

We will keep a close eye on #6 and keep you updated as soon as we get the latest information!

lauren

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