Ernesto Still Organized
Over the last few hours, Ernesto has strengthened slightly with an increase in wind speed and drop in pressure. The NHC Public Advisory as of 5 pm shows:WINDS: 60mph (Gusts to 70 mph)
MOVEMENT: WNW 13 MPH
LOCATION: 375 Miles east southeast of Kingston Jamaica
PRESSURE: 997 mb
The environment where Ernesto is located is not favorable for immediate strengthening as there is fairly significant wind shear and cool sea temps. Wind shear is expected to weaken over the next 12-24 hours which could possible allow for very slow intensification.
If Ernesto stays organized and well-entact through the Caribbean, it is highly expected to become a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. The track is still uncertain, but I will be watching its development closely and update the blog often.
lauren
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 6:39 PM
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