Tropics Get Active...
* Tropical Storm Debby continues out in the open Atlantic. All indications point to this system turning back out to sea.* A more troublesome system is developing near the Windward Islands. This will officially become either a Tropical Depression (winds <39) or Tropical Storm (winds >39) in the official NHC update later this afternoon. Here's the statement from NHC:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIADSAAT+shtml/241920.shtml?
* Here is the computer model guidance for the system that will soon be Tropical Storm Ernesto (NOTE: Click on the image below for a larger version):
* This storm has the potential to enter the Gulf of Mexico, and it will likely have no trouble intensifying as long as the low-level circulation can stay well-developed. Water temperatures in that part of the world are very warm, and shear is forecast to be light. But, as we all know, forecasting tropical system intensity is extremely difficult. We'll watch closely...
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 2:41 PM
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