Sunday, August 27, 2006

Hurricane Ernesto

Tropical Storm Ernesto became a Hurricane early this morning as winds strengthened to near 75 mph. As of right now, Ernesto is a Category One Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, but some strengthening is expected the rest of the day today and into tonight.

WINDS: 75MPH
PRESSURE: 997MB
LOCATION: 115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE, HAITI
AND 205 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO, CUBA
MOTION: NORTHWEST AT 9MPH

The latest models are taking Ernesto through a good portion of Cuba. The interaction with land should cause some significant weakening within the storm. Depending on how long it stays over land will be critical in determining exactly how strong it will become in the Gulf. If Ernesto does not stay over land for very long, it will likely intensify greatly over the warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico.

Where is Ernesto headed? The models are now taking Ernesto a little further to the right of yesterday's advisory. Ernesto will make landfall with Cuba and then take on a more northerly track, which will put Florida in its path. We are still a couple of days away to know the official track, but as Ernesto approaches we will definately be keeping a close eye on who will be effected.

Lauren

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