Twin States Weather Blog

Heading to Demopolis!

* This will have to be a short update, I am running quite low on time today. We are doing our Live at Five and Newscenter 11 at 6pm broadcasts live from Demopolis. The folks over in Demopolis are preparing for Christmas on the River, one of the most unique and enjoyable Christmas celebrations in the Southeast. Tune in, or if you are in the neighborhood, stop by! We'll be broadcasting live from Lyon Hall in Demopolis at 5 and 6 o'clock. We'd love to hear from you.

* Not a lot of change in our forecast thinking. The rest of the work week looks dry. A few showers are possible as early as late Friday night (after midnight) or early Saturday. But, the best rain chances hold off until late Sunday into Monday.

* Still looks very cold around the late Monday-Wednesday time frame. Highs Tuesday and Wednesday will likely struggle to make the 40's, with stiff northerly winds. Definitely not a good day for a walk in the park. I have received a few notes about how our forecast temperatures are much lower than other forecast outlets like the Weather Channel, etc.

The Weather Channel's forecast products are based heavily, if not exclusively, on computer model output. They have to cover the entire country. Here, we cover this area alone - so we have a lot more time and effort invested in getting the forecast correct here. Not saying we'll always be correct, but we'll spend more time on it. I suppose that's a post for another day...

* Snow? Of course, the GFS has changed its tune for next week's potential wintry weather. The 12z run is too warm for any of the white stuff. That's a great example of why you can't base a forecast on one model run. That being said, the pattern is favorable, so we don't completely discount the possibility of some winter weather late next week. In fact, I would be surprised if somewhere south of I-40 did not receive at least the threat of some wintry weather in the next 7-10 days. However, while the pattern is favorable, but climatology is not. December winter weather events are very rare. But, so is reaching the Greek alphabet during hurricane season (which, of course, we did). That's the beauty of meteorology - anything is possible, however rare it may be.

* Got to run, it's time to put together our forecast graphics and hit the road for Demopolis!

posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 2:07 PM