Quiet Right Now
* Radar is showing that the line of thunderstorms is fairly weak at this point. The broken band of thunderstorms seems to be strongest from roughly Forest back towards McComb.* I notice some sun breaking through the clouds at times. This increase in surface heating will mean greater instability. Because of this, we expect thunderstorms to intensify through the next few hours. There is still a chance that we'll see some supercells develop ahead of the line, but it is more likely that the line itself will intensify and become a band of supercells. In fact, radar seems to hint at this cellular mode in the thunderstorms already.
* Model data (6z=midnight) suggests that the best upper level dynamics may lag behind the line as it moves over us. If that verifies, the greatest threat would come east of our area. We'll stick with our idea that the worst of the weather today will be along and east of Highway 45.
* I'm watching things closely from home, while Charles Daniel mans the weather office...Will write another entry near or before 9 AM...
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 6:59 AM
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