Monday, November 28, 2005

Squall line moves forward

* Be sure to check out Josh's post below...some great information on our thinking. I just wanted to point out a couple of things I am seeing

* The wind profiler at Okolona is showing 60 kn0t (near 70mph) winds barely off the surface. When storms interact with this environment and mix out the air, that wind will have an easy time getting to the surface. I expect we will see a good share of wind reports today.

* Storms are trying to fire up along Hwy 45 near Starkville ahead of the squall line. There is a fairly decent midlevel cap in place, and these storms are fightning like heck to punch through. With highly impressive shear values, any prefrontal supercells will likely rotate and have a high likelihood of tornadoes. In fact, the shear values match the threshold values for strong/violent tornadoes, but as Josh pointed out, timing and instability are the key.

* Squall line is moving across the MS delta and crossing the river near Vicksburg at this time. Several tornado warning have come across the wire, but no reports of tornadoes, not a suprise considering its 2am and not many people are awake to see any confirmed sightings.

* Time for a catnap before more radar/analysis.

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