Evening Forecast Update
* Our thinking has not changed too much with the forecast analysis. A strong squall line is moving across Arkansas at the current moment and we anticipate it moving into far northwestern Mississippi after midnight. This squall line has a history of tornadoes, damaging straight line winds, and hail including one fatality in Arkansas.* The squall line really doesn't have too much in its way to slow it down or weaken it. Shear profiles are very impressive across our region. It appears that the squall line could become broken with individual supercells within the line. This would enhance the tornado threat across our region. Also, a few discrete supercells may form in advance of the squall line. These storms would also pose a threat for tornadic development.
* I will be watching the situation overnight and will be joined by Josh Johnson and Charles Daniel in the morning as we see how things evolve. This has the potential to be a significant outbreak and takes on similar characteristics to previous November tornado outbreaks. Keep it tuned to Newscenter 11 for further information!
posted by Renny Vandewege @ 10:34 PM
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