Wednesday, November 23, 2005

Plenty of Weather (and Turkey) on the Plate

* Our weather will undergo many changes over the next week or so. First, Thanksgiving looks nearly perfect. Plenty of sunshine, warm temperatures - highs will likely reach 70 degrees in most communities tomorrow afternoon.

* A front will slip through late tomorrow night, and much colder air arrives Friday. Highs will stay in the upper 40's or lower 50's (depending on cloud cover) with a stiff north wind making it feel colder. Bundle up for that shopping.

* Saturday looks good, but by Sunday, a deep upper trough will pinwheel out of the southwestern U.S. and into the Southern Plains. This trough, and an attendant area of surface low pressure, will track northwest of here. This, combined with very strong winds aloft, will have to be monitored closely for the potential for severe weather.

* At this time, it appears that the threat of severe weather will be largely dependent on instability. The wind fields will be very favorable, but the extent of moisture return into the Deep South is in question. Also, a wedge of cooler air will likely be slipping into Alabama from the northeast. Exactly how far south and west this wedge of cool air makes it will also be very important. Obviously, these factors are too difficult to discern this far out. We'll watch closely, but just be advised that there is the potential for a major severe weather episode somewhere in the Southeast beginning late Sunday and lasting into the day on Monday.

* ENJOY your Thanksgiving holiday, and remember to be thankful for all that you have...If you have a computer to read this weblog, it is very likely that you have more than most in this world. Here's hoping you and your family have a wonderful Thanksgiving!

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