Twin States Weather Blog

Quick Notes:

* This morning's Hazardous Weather Outlook from the Jackson NWS:

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS SET TO IMPACT THE ARKLAMISS REGION TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WHICH WILL BRING THE RISK OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILLBE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG ANDWEST OF A MOREHOUSE LOUISIANA TO GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI LINE. FURTHER SOUTHEAST...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEPOSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE REST OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI NORTHWEST OF A COLUMBUS TO PRENTISS LINE. FINALLY...LOCATIONS IN EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ALONG AND EAST OF A COLUMBUS TO COLUMBIA LINE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

THE PRIMARY RISK WITH THE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

RESIDENTS WEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR ARE URGED TO KEEP UPWITH WEATHER UPDATES THIS MORNING AS AN EVOLVING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER HEADED TOWARD THE REGION COULD RESULT IN A RAPID DECLINE OF WEATHER CONDITIONS. RISKS OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REST OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI WILL BE HIGHEST BETWEEN THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

...FLOODING...
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS ALONG AND WEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AFFECTS THE REGION. EXPECT RAINFALL IN THESE AREAS TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS RECEIVING 3 INCHES. THESE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD NOT CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS...BUT MAY RESULT IN MINOR PONDING OF WATER ISSUES.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS ABIT HIGHER OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEASTLOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WEST OF A NATCHEZ...TO VICKSBURG...TO GREENWOOD LINE. HERE...THE TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WHICH COULD BRING ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO 4 INCHES. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS IN THE MOSTAFFECTED LOCATIONS.

Labels: Forecast Discussion

posted by Chris Whited @ 8:15 AM