Tuesday, August 23, 2005

Tropics Heating Up

* Tropical Depression 12 has formed in the Bahamas...This system has good potential to become a Tropical Storm and eventually a hurricane, depending on how it interacts with the Florida peninsula.

* The model forecast tracks show great variability. One group of models wants to curve the storm along the East Coast...While another group takes the system across the Florida peninsula and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. We believe that the latter is the more likely of the two solutions.

* WAY too early to pinpoint an area of threat. But, anywhere between Miami and Houston should watch this system closely. We'll certainly keep an eye on things...

* I'll post again tonight when the 10pm CDT update from the National Hurricane Center is available...

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