Friday, August 26, 2005

Katrina Roaring Along...

* Running short on time, so this will have to be pretty quick..

..Model guidance continues a westward shift. Threat increasing for our area---too early to pinpoint exactly where the largest threat is.

..Our best guess at landfall is somewhere between Biloxi and Pensacola, but there are indications it could be further west than that. Anywhere between Morgan City, Louisiana and Apalachicola, Florida should rush preparations to completion.

..I want to emphasize that Katrina will very likely become a major hurricane, possibly even a Category 4 storm. This is a dangerous situation, particularly along the immediate coastline. However, there is a substantial threat for wind damage for much of Mississippi and Alabama - especially along and east of the eventual track of Katrina.

..This is a VERY difficult storm to forecast. Steering currents are weak, and this storm has a history of moving erratically. Buckle up, there will be some fast curves - hour to hour surprises will be the norm over the next 72 hours.

..Will update later tonight...

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