Katrina Forms...
* After a lull in the action, it appears that the tropics are becoming much more active. Tropical Storm Katrina formed this morning near the Bahamas, as a recon flight found winds near 40mph.* Where will Katrina go? Tough question. There is a great deal of spread in the dizzying array of model solutions. But, the consensus seems to hint at a track over the southern Florida peninsula and eventually into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. From there, it may curve north and move back into Florida. Or, it could move more northwest towards the northern Gulf Coast. Simply too early to tell. The bottom line is that everyone between Houston and Miami will have to watch this one. Hurricane preparations could begin by Friday, with landfall possible as early as Sunday.
* How strong will Katrina get? Indications are that Katrina will undergo some modest strengthening before its' first landfall along the Florida coast. It could even become a hurricane; water temperatures down there are very warm! As far as strength goes once it enters the Gulf, a lot depends on how well the circulation stays intact after moving over Florida. If the circulation manages to stay mostly intact, the environment in the Gulf is quite favorable for strengthening. Water temperatures down there are VERY warm.
* The bottom line is that it is very early in the game, but Katrina has the potential to impact anyone along the Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana coastline. We'll be watching closely in coming days...
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 8:41 AM
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