Friday, March 25, 2005

Evening Update

* I just finished reviewing the 0z (evening) run of the NAM model, and the numbers are still troubling:

Valid 6 pm Saturday...

CAPE: 2597.2
LI: -6.5
0-3KM Helicity: 236.6
EHI: 2.9
SWEAT: 331.8

All of these numbers indicate the potential for supercell thunderstorms with VERY large hail, wind, and a few tornadoes.

* A variety of IM conferences tomorrow. We begin at 8:00 AM with a group of meteorologists from around the Southeast. Some of the guys in this group are really sharp, I look forward to picking their brain. Then, at 11:30 AM, we'll confer with our EMA partners from around east Mississippi and west Alabama.

* We may have to deal with more storms than originally thought. I am starting to buy in to the idea that we will see two waves of severe weather, one during the afternoon and evening hours tomorrow, and another by Sunday morning. This is dependent on whether the atmosphere has time to destabilize after the first round of storms. For now we'll go ahead and leave the chance of thunderstorms in there for Sunday morning. With it being Easter Sunday, I urge anyone attending sunrise services to stay close to a good source of weather information!

* Again, if you pastor a church without a NOAA Weather Radio, take the opportunity to purchase one tomorrow morning. Take the opportunity to prevent a disaster before it happens. If you have any questions about investing in a NOAA Weather Radio, please e-mail me!

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home

Enter your email address to receive daily updates from the Newscenter 11 Weather Blog:

Delivered by FeedBurner

!-- Start of StatCounter Code -->