Sunday, February 20, 2005

Football and Forecast Notes

Football: Just finished a PlayStation 2 football marathon with our director Chris Brennaman and our weekend meteorologist Derek Kinkade. Here's how the games shook out:

Chris (USM) 31
Josh (ALA) 24

Derek (Iowa) 31
Chris (USM) 8

Josh (ALA) 30
Derek (Utah) 10

So, we all finished with 1 win and 1 loss.

Forecast Notes:

* Still looks wet for the first part of next week. Latest model data shifts the heaviest rain into Tuesday through early Thursday time frame. Models will continue to struggle with this complex southwesterly flow aloft pattern.

* Starting to get the idea that next weekend could feature a return to colder air. The European model guidance and GFS model guidance both support a deep trough in the eastern U.S. around next Sunday.

* Increasing indications that the end of the month could feature some more cold air. We are watching closely the trough currently developing over Japan. Troughs forming in that part of the world can be a signal of a trough forming in the Southeast in 10-14 days. This is one example of a teleconnection, where we use conditions in other parts of the world to try and forecast our weather (NAO is another teleconnection, scroll down a few posts for more info on NAO).

* Enjoy what's left of the weekend! Derek Kinkade will be along later today to update the BLOG!

1 Comments:

At 8:48 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

the foot ball forecast is a good idea

 

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