Thursday, May 03, 2007

Severe Weather Potential!

The Storm Prediction Center has put our Mississippi counties in a slight risk for severe weather tonight into at least Friday morning. A slow moving complex of strong to severe thunderstorms is pushing from Louisiana into western and southwestern Mississippi at this hour. This complex of storms should continue pushing off to the east during the overnight hours. Over the past couple of hours, we have noticed this system weakening somewhat; however, let's not drop our guard just yet. I think the main threat with these storms will be damaging wind and large hail, but an isolated tornado or two can't be ruled out. The forecast models we look at are doing a terrible job of handling this event so here is what I think. The best time frame for seeing this activity will be from the early morning hours on Friday until the mid-afternoon; the reason for the broad time frame is once again due to how poorly models are performing. The convection should weaken overall, but still there will be a threat for at least some isolated severe thunderstorms. I will be here as long as the potential for severe weather exists, and Chris will come in if things start getting out of hand. Let's just hope this thing holds together so we can get some much needed rainfall.

God Bless

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