Tuesday, May 08, 2007

RAIN CHANCES RETURNING!

First of all, an area of low pressure off the Southeast U.S. has folks already thinking about the 2007 hurricane season. This is a non-tropical low centered about 230 miles ESE of the Georgia and South Carolina coasts, and it's producing gale force winds and high seas across the Eastern Seaboard. The National Hurricane Center will send an Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft into the system tomorrow if necessary, but the forecast is for this low pressure area to weaken over the next 48 hours.

The backdoor cold front that slipped through East Mississippi and West Alabama and brought the cooler temperatures and lower humidity to the area late Sunday has now stalled across Louisiana. So back to our west they are seeing some shower and thunderstorm activity along and ahead of that boundary across Northwest and North Central Louisiana. Even further west, our next weather maker is in the form of an upper level low pressure system located right now over the southern Rockies, and this system will be on the move into Texas over the next 24-48 hours. The GFS forecasting model has this upper level low dropping down through central parts of Texas and then into the northern Gulf of Mexico; furthermore, if this scenario plays out we will see decent rain chances from Thursday through the weekend and perhaps beyond. However, if the upper level low decides to track across the Plains and stay north of our area that will mean considerable less rain chances for the Twin States. Let's hope the first scenario plays out, and we get some rain. We are around 15.54" of rain behind for the year and area lakes and rivers are really feeling the effects of this severe drought. For more information on the Greensburg, Kansas EF-5 tornado scroll down and check out Chris' blog.

God Bless

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