Saturday, February 24, 2007

Afternoon Thoughts...

* Things are beginning to play out, so let's take this opportunity to update our thinking:

We will deal with two severe weather threats over the next 12 hours.

FIRST ROUND: First, a band of individual cellular thunderstorms will push through parts of the area, mainly the northwestern part of the area, from Forest to Philadelphia to Macon and points west. But, if more activity fires south of the current storms, then more of our area could deal with these storms.

At this point, none of these cellular thunderstorms are tornadic. But, I do feel that as these storms move into central MS, they will encounter a more favorable atmosphere for tornadoes, and the threat will increase a bit.

Timing: Between 6pm and 9pm.

SECOND ROUND: A line of powerful thunderstorms, currently slicing from roughly West Memphis to Monroe, LA to just north of Houston, TX will move through late tonight/early tomorrow morning.

Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes are the key threats with this band, especially wind damage.

This band of storms will likely affect our area between 10pm and 2 am.

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