Twin States Weather Blog

Tough Forecast Ahead

* The forecast is tough, and will only get tougher as we get closer to the weekend. First, today has been mostly dry. We have seen a few showers and storms pop up at times across east Mississippi, with more activity over in west-central Alabama.

* We'll take it day by day...

* TOMORROW: A cluster of thunderstorms forming right now will be tracking through east Mississippi and west Alabama by sunrise...This cluster of storms (called a Mesoscale Convective System or "MCS") will be dropping heavy rainfall, and some of the storms could be severe.

* TOMORROW NIGHT: Showers and thunderstorms will become less numerous, but we'll still be dealing with at least the chance of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms.

* SATURDAY: The latest guidance suggests that much of Saturday could be dry. However, I believe we'll see at least a few thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. As is the case with tomorrow, any of these storms could be briefly severe with gusty winds and/or some small hail.

* SATURDAY NIGHT: Rain and thunderstorms will overspread the area from the west again. It appears that we'll be dealing with a second MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) late Saturday night into Sunday morning.

* SUNDAY: The thunderstorms will affect us over the first half of the day, with drier air arriving later in the afternoon. This dry air will stay with us through Monday, with more rain and thunderstorms possible by Tuesday and Wednesday.

* I must stress that this is a tough forecast. Heavy rain sure seems like a good bet with these thunderstorm complexes we'll be dealing with, and a few strong or severe storms are also possible. Check back here for frequent updates...

posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 3:24 PM