Friday, April 07, 2006

New Day 1 Outlook

* The new SPC Day 1 outlook has shifted the high risk a bit farther north. This is likely in response to the 0z model suite, which indicated that the best low level shear would be along the Highway 82 corridor. If that verifies, we could be dealing with more of a hail threat than a tornado threat here. But, this is a model forecast - not real data. It could be wrong. I want to stress that the threat for our area is still significant and that it is far too early to let our guard down.

* The location and presence of mesoscale boundaries will determine the progression of the event as we go through the day tomorrow. These boundaries enhance low level shear, and increase the likelihood of tornadoes.

* Time for a quick nap. I will be up tomorrow morning and will post more information at that time...Sleep well!

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