Thursday, October 20, 2005

Wilma...and some other stuff

* Wilma continues to march slowly through the Caribbean, still as a very dangerous and intense hurricane. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center has it as a Category 4 storm, with sustained winds at 155 mph. Hopefully the storm will weaken before making landfall along the Florida peninsula. With cooler sea surface temperatures and stronger wind shear in the path of the storm, it seems like it will probably weaken a bit before landfall. We can certainly hope so. Again, the threat from Wilma here is almost zero.

* How about the cooldown coming? I see that the latest MOS guidance from the GFS paints upper 30's in here by Monday and Tuesday morning! If that trend continues, we will have to continue to adjust our forecast temperatures down. I wouldn't be surprised to see some frost early next week.

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