Saturday, October 15, 2005

Will Tropical Season Ever End??

Tropical Depression 24 has formed in the Caribbean. It is near Jamaica and drifting very slowly to the west. The tropical intensity models bring TD 24 to Hurricane Wilma in just a few days, in fact some of them bring it to an intense hurricane. The intensity forecast is highly uncertain at this point.

As for the track...our long range forecasting tools bring a cold front through our area by next weekend. This front would provide weakness to move the cyclone northeastward. Right now forecasts have it moving across Florida and out into the Atlantic. As we always say, tropical forecasting is difficult in the long range and this forecast is by no means written in stone. The thing to do is keep it right here with Newscenter 11 as we refine our forecast!

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