Wednesday, October 12, 2005

Late Night Update

* The low cloud/fog issue worked out pretty well for our forecast. There were some low clouds and fog, but they dissipated by mid-morning. But, we missed just how far west and south they would develop. Forecasting low cloud/fog placement and development is right up there with summertime convection as one of our big forecast headaches!

* The more things change, the more they stay the same - or at least that's how it seems. Dry weather continues to rule the roost around here through the next 4-7 days. We expect some slightly cooler air in time for the weekend, but the exact extent of the cooldown is still up in the air. The GFS model guidance is 5-7 degrees warmer than our forecast, we are relying more heavily on the European model. Should the GFS turn out to be correct, we may stay warmer than our forecast indicates this weekend. We'll see...

* An interesting link passed along to me tonight by our former weekend meteorologist Derek Kinkade...Pretty cool stuff, hope you find it interesting...

http://www.specwarnet.com/americas/10th_cws.htm

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