Thursday, June 09, 2005

Tropical Storm Arlene

* The first Tropical Storm of the 2005 season is whirling away in the Caribbean Sea. Arlene formed late last night, and continues to gradually get better organized.

* Our forecast track remains mostly unchanged, somewhere between the mouth of the Mississippi River and Panama City Beach, Florida. It should be noted that this storm's eastern side will probably be much more intense than its western side. So, if landfall occurs east of us, we will not see the full force of Arlene. Here's the latest visible satellite image from Arlene:



* The official intensity forecast from the NHC keeps Arlene as a Tropical Storm. I wouldn't be surprised if Arlene ends up becoming a weak hurricane before making landfall.

* The bottom line is that tropical weather forecasting is a very tough business, so check back here and at WTOK Weather for updates. Also, here's the National Hurricane Center's website, complete with an RSS feed:

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