Twin States Weather Blog

Early Afternoon Update

* Here's the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center. Indicates the largest risk is along and north of a line from roughly Jackson to Macon. Take a look:

SPC Day 1 Outlook

* After looking at the morning sounding (a measure of the entire atmosphere, done with a balloon carrying weather instruments), it seems like we may have a pretty strong cap. We had anticipated this. So, activity will most likely hold off until well after dark.

* Not a lot of change in our thinking. Still dealing with a squall line of severe thunderstorms. I would anticipate numerous severe thunderstorm warnings tonight, and perhaps a few tornado warnings. The main threat will be damaging straight line winds and scattered reports of large hail. We'll be here all night watching it closely.

* We will push back the timing on the arrival of the storms a bit. I would imagine we'll see the worst of hold off until after midnight. We'll highlight the period from 2:00AM - 8:00AM. The further north and west you are, the earlier in that period you will see the activity.

* Could be a very active day in eastern Arkansas, northern Mississippi, western Tennessee, and northwestern Alabama. Places like El Dorado, AR; Batesville, Tupelo, Olive Branch, and Muscle Shoals, AL.

posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 1:16 PM