Sunday Notes...
Ahh, the Oscars... A night when we find out the best of the best in the entertainment world, and a night when countless news personalities that work for ABC affiliates curse the fact that they will be putting in late hours at the station! Actually, its not so bad. On the bright side, it gives me a chance to check out some more model data, and we'll get right to the discussion.*Short term
Looks like a few showers still around the I-55 corridor as I write this. We should see these showers continue overnight, and we may even see a few showers linger into the morning hours. There will be areas of fog that will form after midnight tonight, so be careful if anyone is out on the roads, as I will be soon after the news, driving back to good ol' Starkville.
Monday looks like a day where we will see clouds and drizzle early, then clearing as we head through the afternoon, and turning much cooler by Monday night. Look for the lows around 30 as a cold front will push through the area late Monday. This will make for some chilly conditions around here by Tuesday with highs holding in the 40s.
Medium and long range
Let me be the first to say that there is a low confidence forecast in the medium and long range. A series of shortwaves (we commonly call them 'upper level disturbances' when we are on the air) will move across our area. These often allow for rising air at the surface. Will there be enough rising air and moisture interacting to produce rain? Will it be just clouds? Either way, this can play havoc with temperature forecasts, especially at night. So here we go...
The NAM model is starting to come around with the idea of our shortwave that will move through here Wednesday. At this time, I think that the main rain chances around here will come Wednesday afternoon and evening. Other models are on this bandwagon as well, and if that is the case, temperatures should be above freezing and what we see will be just rain. If the moisture waits until Wednesday night, or comes in earlier on Tuesday night, we may be dealing with a chance of some light snow, but I don't think this will be the case. Charles and Josh will have a better handle on the sitution tomorrow and Tuesday.
Other than that, weather remains unsettled for the end of the week. I think we will see our temperatures in the low to mid 50s, so no real warmup anytime soon for East Mississippi and West Alabama. Each day will feature a mixture of clouds and sun, although I don't see any rain in our long term until maybe the first of next week. Lots of nervous energy in the Gulf of Mexico, however, and with cold air not far away, that's always a scary sight. We will keep a close eye on it!
posted by Anonymous @ 9:29 PM
1 Comments:
We moved here in june. What does it take to close school here for snow? I lived in GA before living California. They closed snow when barely snowed. What do they do here? So do you think that engery on the gulf could bring us some thunderstorms in the long term future? Also when do you guys start seeing lots of severe weather activity here?
Matt
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