Saturday, February 26, 2005

Weekend Ramblings...

After a lovely dinner at CiCi's Pizza (both cheap and good) I'm back here in the weather center, watching some Forest Gump on ABC and getting ready for the news at 10. Some very tough challenges in the forecast ahead, especially in the medium and long range. We will get right to it...

*Sunday through Monday...

Sunday looks wet! A shortwave moving in to the area and the main surface low in the Gulf will produce rain across East Mississippi and West Alabama. I think rainfall amounts will be around a half inch, though some locations could see a little more. I don't think we'll see any severe weather with this system, though the possibility exists for some small hail because of the very cold temperatures aloft. This isn't a big threat, and I won't mention it in the forecast at this time. By late Sunday and overnight Sunday, rain will begin to diminish across the area, and I think most of the rain will be gone by Monday morning. We can expect clearing conditions Monday and much cooler Monday afternoon and evening...

*Tuesday through Friday...

Looks very chilly! As Josh mentioned earlier, some sources are forecasting temperatures in the middle 50s for Tuesday and Wednesday, but there will be no way we will reach 50! Some locations in north MS will stay in the 30s all day. I think we'll see the middle 40s around here. By Tuesday night and Wednesday a few models want to bring a shortwave into the area, and with so much cold air in place, I am a little concerned about some wintry weather. We will see if the models are consistent with this tomorrow, and I might introduce that idea in the forecast. Talking with Chief Meteorologist Josh Johnson tonight, he had an excellent point in saying that the GFS has a bias of splitting a trough, and the piece of energy that it lags back will become our shortwave and our possible wintry weather. If this does not occur, we will see just some clouds on Wednesday. Thursday and Friday begin a 'warm up' with temperatures back in the lower to middle 50s, still about 10 degrees below normal for the first week of March.

*The long range...

Temperatures look downright cold for the first 2 weeks of March. Whenever you have this much cold air in place with a trough in the East, the pattern will favor at least one or two chances of wintry weather. We will keep a close eye on this, so stay tuned to WTOK!
I'll have another update tomorrow, and I'll have more tonight and tomorrow at 10!

1 Comments:

At 2:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

hi Derek this is Scott from Louisville ky glad to hear you enjoyed your pizza looks like you will be busy with the forecast looks like a hard one to forecastsee you later

 

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