Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Strong Thunderstorms Possible Later Tonight!


*Some strong, to perhaps severe, thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the WTOK viewing area later tonight.

*The Storm Prediction Center has placed the northern half of the viewing area under a slight risk of severe weather, mainly for after midnight tonight. A strong cold front will approach the area after dark tonight. The atmosphere has been very warm with sufficient moisture for thunderstorms. As the front approaches, that will provide just enough "lift" to the air to get some thunderstorms to develop. The best chance of severe weather will be along and north of I-20, especially the further north you go. However, all of the area has the chance of seeing a strong thunderstorm. The main threat with any storms tonight will be hail.

*The thinking right now is that an impressive line of severe thunderstorms will move into Mississippi, especially across the Delta Region, but as they progess south and east, they should gradually diminish. But, as always, keep an eye to the sky, to this blog, as well as Chris Whited who will have updates, as needed, this evening on WTOK.

*Here's the lastest Hazardous Weather Outlook from the Nat'l Weather Service in Jackson, MS:

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE REGION. THE AIRMASS HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN ON THE WEAK SIDE UNTIL THE FRONT ARRIVES TONIGHT. THE MAIN RISK FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A NATCHEZ...TO JACKSON...TO DE KALB LINE. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF A GRENADA...TO GREENVILLE...TO CROSSETT LINE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT WHERE THE BEST COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL EXIST ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A WINNSBORO LOUISIANA TO CANTON TO PHILADELPHIA MISSISSIPPI LINE AS THE STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SWEEP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. OUR UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH ADEQUATE MOISTURE AND LOCALIZED HIGHER WIND SHEAR TO CREATE THE PROPER CONDITIONS FOR THESE STORMS ALONG THE FRONT. THE LINE OF STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT AS IT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. HOWEVER... STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. THE MAIN RISK WILL CONTINUE TO BE LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH.

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