Tropical Issues?
* Many of our computer models continue to suggest at least the possibility of some sort of tropical system forming in the southernmost Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea over the next couple of days.* Here's the Thursday 1030pm outlook from the National Hurricane Center:
SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL AMERICA NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...AND PORTIONS OF CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE NEAR EASTERN YUCATAN. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT...IF THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES AWAY FROM LAND WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
* Forgive the all caps...It's a government thing...
* The GFDL computer model develops the system into a tropical storm over the central Gulf of Mexico before weakening it and bringing it inland over the Florida panhandle. But, this is just guidance - not an official forecast...
* Bottom line: There is a chance that we may see a tropical storm form in the southern Gulf of Mexico. It is probably too early in the season for this to become a big storm, if it even develops. We could use the rain, so hopefully we'll get some tropical moisture WITHOUT any tropical storm...
* We will be watching the tropics closely over the next several months, so check back for updates!
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 11:27 PM
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