Tuesday, March 07, 2006

Evening Update

* Just a few numbers for Meridian from the 0z NAM run (6pm)

Forecasted Severe Weather Indices for 6pm Thursday. All of these support severe weather.
- CAPE = 1032
- 0-3 KM SRH = 406
- EHI = 2.6
- LI = -3.8
- Total Totals = 50
- Wet Bulb Zero = 9972

* Our thinking has really not changed much at all. 0z NAM now has dewpoints getting up to around 64 and I tend to agree with Josh that the models will have a hard time picking up all of the moisture return/instability. Regardless, a severe weather event looks likely on Thursday

* A couple more interesting numbers that stick out from the 0z NAM

- Wind at 950 mb = 46 knts!
- Wind at 900 mb = 57 knts!
- Wind at 850 mb = 64 knts!

That is one strong low level jet!

* Now would be a good time to check the batteries in your NOAA weather radio and review your severe weather plan of action at home, work, and school!

* More updates to come later!

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