Headache of a Forecast
* We often talk about the difficulty of forecasting these zonal patterns. Tiny impulses embedded in the fast upper flow are enough to kick off large masses of rain and thunderstorms. The problem lies in detecting these impulses. Our upper air measurements are few and far between, and so these impulses often go undetected until the rain begins...* This scenario lends itself to adjustments of the forecast, and it looks like that's what we'll have to do a bit...Friday now looks like it may be mostly dry, with the rain holding off until Saturday. We'll wait for one more model run this afternoon before formally amending our forecast, but that's the idea we have right now.
* Back to the here and the now: Most of the rain today has been across northern Mississippi and northern Alabama. That being said, we have seen a few clusters of rain and embedded thunderstorms develop at times across this part of the world. We'll continue the chance of showers and perhaps a thunderstorm for much of the afternoon and into the nighttime hours tonight.
* Off to run some errands - I'll have an update later this evening.
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 11:25 AM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home