Saturday, April 30, 2005

Saturday Update

Whew, what a night! Later this evening I'll post about our storm chase and what we saw over in northwest part of our state. For now, we will discuss weather here in East Mississippi and West Alabama for the next few days.

* Clouds really hung tough around the area today with temperatures hovering in the low 60s with breezy conditions. It did not feel like the last day of April at all!

* I think we will see those clouds decrease tonight and it looks like it will be a nice day tomorrow with temperatures back in the low 70s, still below normal for the first of May.

* After that, things get tricky. We are in an "El Nino" type pattern with a strong southern branch of the jet stream that remains very active. Due to our computer models not understanding what is going on the Pacific Ocean very well, this southern branch can sometimes bring some surprise amounds of precipitation and very hard to forecast weather for the southeast US. Generally, this means a wetter and cooler than normal pattern, and that is what I have for us next week. It looks like we see increasing clouds Monday and Tuesday with a slight chance of a shower, with skies remaining mostly cloudy all week. Our best chance of rain will come sometime Thursday into Friday morning, though we can't rule out the chance of a shower all week as impulses rotate our way. Afternoon highs will be in the middle 70s generally, and that is about 5-8 degrees below average for us this time of year.

* This is a very low confidence and tricky forecast! Things can change dramatically over a few days. At this time, however, we aren't looking for any severe weather anytime in the next 7 days or so. Just a generally wet and cool pattern.

* I will post later about our storm chase last night. Wanted to say a big THANK YOU to Josh Johnson and everyone at WTOK for staying up late last night with all of the severe weather. I got to do the fun stuff, but I know what its like not to get any sleep over the weather. Enjoy a beautiful day tomorrow!

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