Saturday, February 11, 2006

1:00 PM Update

* Temperatures have warmed into the mid 40s this afternoon across the area. Not expecting much in the way of snow showers this afternoon (especially with temps so much above freezing). The 12z upper air sounding from Jackson, MS showed a large area of dry air in the mid levels. This is confirmed on water vapor imagery. The past few hours though have shown that dry patch of air moving south and east and I'd imagine the 0z sounding this evening will show more moisture within the column of air.

* Water vapor imagery also showing that the core upper level trough is hanging back and spinning about in Missouri at this time and continues to move southeastward. The late arrival will eliminate snow showers today, but could make them possible this evening. Lapse rates should be more than sufficient for convection to occur and with temperatures falling off this evening, precipitation will likely fall as snow. As we've mentioned previously, a dusting at most would occur underneath a heavy snow band. But we do not expect travel troubles or accumulation, if any snow at all. We'll watch this closely. Also, its a bit breezy out there this afternoon with winds from 10-20 mph and higher gusts! Certainly feels much cooler than the actual temperature would suggest!

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