Wednesday, March 23, 2005

Sunshine Returns...

* Good to see the sun out today. Temperatures getting up into the upper 60's and lower 70's across the Southeast. We certainly deserve the pleasant weather after the stormy start to the work week.

* Still expecting at least the threat for severe weather this weekend. Here is an excerpt from the latest forecast discussion from the National Weather Service in Jackson:

"QUITE HONESTLY...MODEL-GENERATED BUOYANCY...SHEAR...AND INSTABILITY PARAMETERS FROM THE GFS ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE (AND AREN'T MUCH DIFFERENT ON THE NAM). LIFTED INDICES AVERAGING -4 DEGREES...0 TO 1 KM VORTICITY GENERATION POTENTIAL AVERAGING 0.5...0 TO 3 KM HELICITY VALUES MORE THAN 150 M^2/S^2 EVERYWHERE...AND CAPES BETWEEN 1000 AND 2000 J/KG ALL STRONGLY SUGGEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

THIS INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. EVEN AFTER LOOKING AT ALL OF THE INFORMATION...IT'S STILL KIND OF TOUGH TO PINPOINT THE EXACT LOCATION OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. I WILL SAY THIS THOUGH...I AM VERY CONCERNED ABOUT THE AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. ENHANCED WORDING IN THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD HAS BEEN CONTINUED IN THE AFTERNOON HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK."

* The primary concern will be late Saturday night into the day on Sunday. With it being Easter Sunday, I just want to give everyone a heads up on this threat. We'll be able to talk specifics about this event by late Thursday night and especially on Friday. Stay tuned...

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