Weather Settling Down
* Our weather is calming down quite a bit tonight...But, an active day is on tap tomorrow, as more severe weather is possible.* It seems that the worst of the damage was in Jones County, where there was widespread wind damage in some parts of the county. There was also quite a bit of large hail with a storm that affected Newton, Lauderdale, and Choctaw counties -- another storm dropped large hail in parts of Smith and Jasper counties.
* SPC has outlooked most of our area for a "Moderate" risk of severe weather tomorrow. They include our area in a fairly rare 45% hatched probability of severe weather...Here's their outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
* The threat of severe weather will be at a maximum here from around 10:00 am until 10:00 pm...Main threat will be large hail, but all modes of severe weather are possible.
* It's interesting to note that the GFS has much higher instability forecasts for tomorrow when compared to the NAM. Usually, the NAM is much higher than the GFS, so this is a bit of a role reversal. Lately, the GFS has been much more accurate than the NAM, so if that trend continues, tomorrow could be a long day for us.
* I'll post an update around 1:00 am, after the new SPC Day 1 outlook is issued.
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 9:12 PM
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