Evening Update
* I sure hated to see Alabama go down tonight. It was a great effort by both teams, despite a terrible officiating job (towards both teams)...* On to weather...Evidence is growing that we will be dealing with a round of severe thunderstorms Monday. There is still some question about how much unstable air will make it this far north, but the latest computer model guidance suggests we should be able to get our dewpoints into the lower 60's. Couple that with favorable upper level wind profiles, and we could be dealing with some rough weather Monday.
* The SPC has outlined our area under a "Slight" risk for severe weather Monday:
SPC Day 3 Outlook
* The NAM suggests that instability values will likely get up above 1000 J/kg. If you take that model at face value, that would support the threat of severe weather. However, we should note that the NAM has been overestimating instability quite a bit lately. So, for now, we'll stick with the potential for severe weather with the main limiting factor being a lack of really moisture-rich and unstable air. If the NAM is correct, we will have to be more concerned about this potential. Be sure to watch this space over the weekend for updates!
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 9:44 PM
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