Friday, January 27, 2006

Interesting Times Ahead...

* The next month or so will offer some very interesting times in the world of weather. First, we have a pretty decent rain event shaping up for this evening and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will overspread Mississippi and Alabama from the west. Most of the rain should hold off until after noon at the earliest, with the vast majority of it falling after sunset Saturday.

* There is some chance of an isolated strong or severe thunderstorm Saturday night. The wind shear in the atmosphere is more than sufficient for severe weather, but the amount of low level moisture and instability seems to be inadequate. IF there is more moisture return than current projections, then the chance of severe weather will increase. Renny will be here watching things closely.

* Sunday looks mostly dry, with a shower possible early. Another upper trough will swing through Monday, with an outside chance of a shower.

* The long range still looks chilly and unsettled. The GFS hints at a cold period around the second week of February, with an active southern branch. We'll continue to watch...

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