Tropical Depression 3 Forms
* After sending a hurricane hunter aircraft into the cluster of storms in the western Caribbean, the National Hurricane Center has determined that it has formed into a Tropical Depression. Here's their official statement:http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIADSAAT+shtml/032018.shtml?
* The depression has weak low level winds, but its presentation on satellite is impressive. It shows good "outflow," which tells us that the structure of the system is getting better organized. The main issue here will be the influence of land on the system as it tracks over the Yucatan peninsula. If it can hold together and emerge in the southern Gulf of Mexico, I believe this depression will quickly strengthen into a tropical storm and perhaps eventually a hurricane. If that does happen, the system will be named Cindy.
* The computer models aren't suggesting any development with Tropical Depression 3. And, they may be right - it may not survive the track over land. Tropical systems thrive on warm water, and when that supply of warm water is no longer available, weakening does occur.
* We are watching ANOTHER tropical disturbance in the extreme eastern Caribbean Sea. The FSU MM5 wants to develop this into a strong tropical system next week. Here's that output:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs//mm5fsu/2005070300//slp18.png
posted by WTOK Weather Staff @ 3:49 PM
1 Comments:
I see the FSU also has another storm in the Atlanta at the same time as the one in the eastern Caribbean.
Post a Comment
<< Home